Banbury United 1-0 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

Banbury United
1-0 HT 1-0
Leiston
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Banbury United vs Leiston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Banbury United v Leiston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.25/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.99
+30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Banbury United vs Leiston Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leiston
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.02.2022 Leiston Leiston 0-2 HT 0-1 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United edged past Leiston 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Banbury United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Banbury United and 1.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Leiston?

Banbury United 1-0 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 48%, draw 26%, Leiston 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banbury United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banbury United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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