Kettering Town 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.7pp
37%
BTTS No
49%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
2.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.93
+2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Barwell
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Kettering Town Kettering Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
09.12.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 0-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
30.03.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
14.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
17.09.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-4 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
2-1
AWAY Barwell
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past Barwell 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kettering Town had 41% of the ball to Barwell's 59%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kettering Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Kettering Town and 1.40 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Barwell?

Kettering Town 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 56%, draw 23%, Barwell 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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