Bury Town 1-3 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-3.0pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bury Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Bury Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town saw off Bury Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Bury Town vs Harborough Town?

Bury Town 1-3 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bury Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bury Town 21%, draw 32%, Harborough Town 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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