Stocksund 1-4 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
62%
Away Win
64%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 69%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.28/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.01
+2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
243 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
1W-0D-4L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-1 HT 2-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
28.09.2024 Stocksund Stocksund 4-1 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
18.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
12.11.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-3 HT 0-2 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
1-4
AWAY IF Karlstad
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad swept aside Stocksund 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stocksund had 40% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 60%, shots finished 9-26.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Stocksund and 2.40 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs IF Karlstad?

Stocksund 1-4 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 17%, draw 21%, IF Karlstad 62%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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