Cagliari 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 16 Aug 2025

Cagliari
1-1 HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Cagliari vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.06
No
42%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.3
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
67%
+1.9pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.9pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
44%
+13.3pp
42%
BTTS No
56%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.28
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
29.5 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cagliari vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
The Meetings
06.02.2016 Cagliari Cagliari 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
22.09.2015 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-3 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
09.08.2015 Cagliari Cagliari 5-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTK

Cagliari 1-1 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.87 xG 0.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
420 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 6
9 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari and Virtus Entella shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Cagliari carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Cagliari had 59% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 41%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.87 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cagliari and 0.33 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Virtus Entella?

Cagliari 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 69%, draw 16%, Virtus Entella 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cagliari), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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