Venezia 4-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 16 Aug 2025

Venezia
4-0 HT 2-0
Mantova
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Venezia vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
8%
9.55
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.35
2/2
7%
7.66
2/X
8%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Venezia vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
30.01.2015 Venezia Venezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC

Venezia 4-0 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
4-0
AWAY Mantova
2.91 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
28 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
356 Passes 321
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia ran out comfortable winners over Mantova 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 53% of the ball to Mantova's 47%, shots finished 28-9, expected goals 2.91 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Mantova?

Venezia 4-0 Mantova in the Italy - Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Venezia 57%, draw 23%, Mantova 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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