Launceston City 4-1 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.6pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.3pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.66/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.23
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Devonport City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Devonport City Devonport City 3-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
12.04.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
10.08.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 HT 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
15.06.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 4-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
06.04.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 0-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
12.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City ran out comfortable winners over Devonport City 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Launceston City and 1.83 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Devonport City?

Launceston City 4-1 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 52%, draw 16%, Devonport City 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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