Altona Magic 4-0 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
0.99/3.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.56
+0% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.28 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 245
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-3 HT 1-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
29.06.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
23.03.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
19.08.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-4 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic cruised past Port Melbourne 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altona Magic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Altona Magic and 2.33 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne?

Altona Magic 4-0 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 49%, draw 24%, Port Melbourne 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altona Magic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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