Spartak Varna 1-3 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

Spartak Varna
1 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.3
Draw
18%
4.36
Away Pick
71%
1.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.85
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
1%
2/2
47%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Spartak Varna v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Spartak Varna The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna The Market 73%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.90
2.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.66
Great Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Bad
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 532 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
22.09.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-2 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
07.05.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1

Spartak Varna 1-3 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1 - 3
AWAY Cherno More Varna
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cherno More Varna got the better of Spartak Varna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Cherno More Varna saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Spartak Varna against 2.00 for Cherno More Varna.

Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna Result & Final Score

Spartak Varna 1 - 3 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 11%, draw 18%, Cherno More Varna 71%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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