Mold Alexandra 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.27
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.03.2023 Mold Alexandra 3-1 HT 2-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead Hotspur FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra and Holyhead Hotspur FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Mold Alexandra 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 59%, draw 20%, Holyhead Hotspur FC 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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