16/08/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Newtown vs Flint Mountain Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
23%
Draw
19%
15%
Away Win
13%
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
41%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Flint Mountain — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newtown
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Flint Mountain
EU Bookmakers 16%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
3.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.19/2.54
+11%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
+5%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
430 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Newtown vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Newtown saw off Flint Mountain 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Flint Mountain?
Newtown 3-1 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Flint Mountain?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Newtown 62%, draw 23%, Flint Mountain 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Newtown)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
16 Aug 2025