Holywell 4-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.33/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.51
+20% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2025 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
09.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
13.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.02.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-2 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.01.2023 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALWK
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell swept aside Guilsfield 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Holywell and 1.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Holywell 4-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Holywell 45%, draw 25%, Guilsfield 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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