La Equidad 2-1 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.10/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.04
-38% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
17.8 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Llaneros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 0.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
283 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
06.07.2014 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
2-1
AWAY Llaneros
1.93 xG 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
285 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad edged past Llaneros 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day La Equidad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 47% of the ball to Llaneros's 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold La Equidad's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llaneros led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Equidad and 1.50 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Llaneros?

La Equidad 2-1 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 36%, draw 30%, Llaneros 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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