Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.98
+27% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.6 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
281 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
06.10.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
26.03.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
26.09.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 2-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
19.04.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-3 HT 0-2 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
24.10.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-0
AWAY Once Caldas
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
248 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Once Caldas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 50% of the ball to Once Caldas's 50%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?

Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 42%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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