Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.41/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
-28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.9 Crosses 18.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
116 Passes 189
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 0-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
27.10.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-3 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0-1
AWAY Maritimo
0.59 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
74 Passes 172
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo nicked a narrow win over Felgueiras 1932 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 40% of the ball to Maritimo's 60%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.59 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.50 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo?

Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 49%, draw 25%, Maritimo 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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