Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa and Chaves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 56% of the ball to Chaves's 44%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.23 to 0.40.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Chaves?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 36%, draw 27%, Chaves 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.