Chaves 2-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+13.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
2-0
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves saw off Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chaves had 44% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 56%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Chaves 2-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chaves 43%, draw 27%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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