Brito 1-0 Moura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

Brito
1-0 HT 0-0
Moura
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brito EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moura EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brito
1-0
AWAY Moura
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brito vs Moura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brito edged past Moura 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brito as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brito had 58% of the ball to Moura's 42%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Brito vs Moura?

Brito 1-0 Moura in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brito vs Moura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brito win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brito 50%, draw 23%, Moura 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brito), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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