Sanjoanense 2-4 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-4
AWAY Farense
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense beat Sanjoanense 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Farense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 59% of the ball to Farense's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Farense?

Sanjoanense 2-4 Farense in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 25%, draw 25%, Farense 50%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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