Vila Real 2-0 Atlético Arcos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Real EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Arcos EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Real
2-0
AWAY Atlético Arcos
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Vila Real vs Atlético Arcos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Real saw off Atlético Arcos 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vila Real as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vila Real had 63% of the ball to Atlético Arcos's 37%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Vila Real vs Atlético Arcos?

Vila Real 2-0 Atlético Arcos in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Real vs Atlético Arcos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Real win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vila Real 47%, draw 22%, Atlético Arcos 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Real), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Real) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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