Lagoa 0-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
16.01
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.75
No
51%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
4%
+15.8pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.5pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.2pp
51%
BTTS No
68%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lagoa EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lagoa
0-2
AWAY Famalicao
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lagoa vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao got the better of Lagoa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lagoa had 32% of the ball to Famalicao's 68%, shots finished 3-14.

What was the final score of Lagoa vs Famalicao?

Lagoa 0-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lagoa vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lagoa 20%, draw 19%, Famalicao 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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