San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
35%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn The Market 25%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.13/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.09
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
29.03.2026 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
10.08.2025 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 3-1 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
06.04.2025 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
26.02.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Deportivo Madryn shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.25 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 45%, draw 30%, Deportivo Madryn 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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