Varzim 2-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Aug 2026

Varzim
2 - 1 HT 2 - 0
AD Marco 09
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Varzim The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AD Marco 09
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 1-3 HT 1-2 Varzim Varzim POR3
01.11.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 0-1 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2 - 1
AWAY AD Marco 09
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Varzim vs AD Marco 09
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Varzim came out on the right side of a one-goal game with AD Marco 09 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, shots finished 7-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Varzim against 1.00 for AD Marco 09.

Varzim vs AD Marco 09 Result & Final Score

Varzim 2 - 1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Varzim vs AD Marco 09 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Varzim 48%, draw 29%, AD Marco 09 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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