Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Nacional
vs
Estoril
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Portugal - Premier League – 2026/2027

Nacional vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Nacional v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Nacional vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Estoril
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2026 Nacional Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Estoril Estoril POR
26.10.2025 Estoril Estoril 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR
15.02.2025 Nacional Nacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
15.09.2024 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Nacional POR
25.07.2021 Nacional Nacional 1-2 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril PORLC
14.12.2019 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR2
COMMENT Nacional vs Estoril
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in just 1 of Nacional's last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Estoril's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional and 1.33 for Estoril.

When do Nacional and Estoril play?

Nacional play Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Nacional vs Estoril?

Our model's prediction for Nacional vs Estoril is an Estoril win at about 38% probability, priced 2.51 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Nacional 34%, draw 28%, Estoril 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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