Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Ukraine - Premier League – 2026/2027

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
18%
3.72
Away Pick
63%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2026 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
13.09.2025 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
03.12.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
29.07.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
05.03.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-7 HT 0-4 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
COMMENT Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's last 5 home league games, while Shakhtar Donetsk have won 5 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 2.17 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

When do Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Shakhtar Donetsk play?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv play Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/08/2026, kick-off 15:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our model's prediction for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk is an Shakhtar Donetsk win at about 63% probability, priced 1.62 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 19%, draw 18%, Shakhtar Donetsk 63%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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