Galway United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.51
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
17%
4.88
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.52
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -27%
0.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.88
-44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.1 Crosses 22.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.42 xG 1.57
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
125 Passes 523
58% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
26.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.07.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
06.09.2019 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
18.08.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.43 xG 0.91
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
146 Passes 461
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Galway United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Shamrock Rovers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 29% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 71%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.43 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Galway United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Galway United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Galway United 33%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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