Guastatoya 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+11.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.7pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.84/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.98
+37% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
17.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
07.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-3 HT 0-3 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.03.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guastatoya and 1.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Guastatoya 1-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 39%, draw 29%, Xelaju MC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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