Xinabajul 3-3 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.20/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/0.77
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +67%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Mixco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
13.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 1-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
24.10.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
14.08.2022 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul and Mixco shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xinabajul and 1.17 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Mixco?

Xinabajul 3-3 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 28%, Mixco 27%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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