San Carlos 2-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
2.02/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.43
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
28.04.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-2 HT 1-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
25.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
04.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
03.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
16.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos nicked a narrow win over Puntarenas FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Carlos and 1.00 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?

San Carlos 2-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 55%, draw 24%, Puntarenas FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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16 Sep 2024
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