Puntarenas FC 2-2 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.59/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.14
-53% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY San Carlos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
25.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
04.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
03.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
16.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC and San Carlos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.17 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos?

Puntarenas FC 2-2 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 29%, draw 28%, San Carlos 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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