Grecia 0-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grecia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -26%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.36
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grecia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
07.10.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
06.08.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
03.04.2023 Grecia Grecia 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
04.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 0-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
12.09.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 5-3 HT 1-2 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grecia
0-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Grecia vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles edged past Grecia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Grecia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grecia had 50% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 50%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grecia and 1.67 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Grecia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Grecia 0-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grecia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grecia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grecia 42%, draw 31%, Santos de Guapiles 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grecia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grecia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
28 Apr 2024
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