Sporting San Jose 3-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.10
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
27.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-4 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
3-2
AWAY Municipal Liberia
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose edged past Municipal Liberia 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Sporting San Jose made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 51% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 49%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.67 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Sporting San Jose 3-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 34%, draw 28%, Municipal Liberia 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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