Naxxar Lions 0-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 67%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.66/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.07
-5% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Floriana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
21.10.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-2
AWAY Floriana
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana saw off Naxxar Lions 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 41% of the ball to Floriana's 59%, shots finished 1-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Naxxar Lions and 2.00 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Floriana?

Naxxar Lions 0-2 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 21%, draw 26%, Floriana 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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