Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
2.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.62
+16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Whitby Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2025 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
05.11.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
02.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 2-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-6 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-0
AWAY Whitby Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity squeezed past Whitby Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 49% of the ball to Whitby Town's 51%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 0.33 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 53%, draw 22%, Whitby Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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