Whitby Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
-15% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 2-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-6 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
28.08.2021 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity edged past Whitby Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Whitby Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Whitby Town and 2.20 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Whitby Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 46%, draw 27%, Gainsborough Trinity 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Whitby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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