Saarbrücken 3-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
12%
7.05
X/X
12%
5.25
2/1
7%
17.95
2/2
16%
4.86
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.80/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.38
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 20.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.12.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
06.08.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-1 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
28.09.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
3-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
408 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken saw off Ulm 1846 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Saarbrücken made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 58% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 42%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.00 for Ulm 1846.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Ulm 1846?

Saarbrücken 3-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 40%, draw 24%, Ulm 1846 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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