Schweinfurt 0-3 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Sep 2025

Schweinfurt
0-3 HT 0-1
MSV Duisburg
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Schweinfurt vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
18.4
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
6.54
X/2
16%
5.16
X/X
12%
5.34
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.02
2/X
4%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.4 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schweinfurt v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.47
-100% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.5 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Schweinfurt vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
0W-2D-0L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
The Meetings
08.02.2002 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
08.09.2001 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt AL2

Schweinfurt 0-3 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schweinfurt
0-3
AWAY MSV Duisburg
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
444 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg ran out comfortable winners over Schweinfurt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Schweinfurt had 63% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 37%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Schweinfurt and 1.00 for MSV Duisburg.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs MSV Duisburg?

Schweinfurt 0-3 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 26%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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