Verl 2-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Sep 2025

Verl
2-1 HT 0-0
Alemannia Aachen
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Verl vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
14%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
10%
6.97
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
2/2
14%
4.84
2/X
10%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -21%
1.79/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.90
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Verl vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 162
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Verl Verl 2-1 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
10.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
18.10.2019 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
14.11.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-0 HT 2-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
17.05.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Verl 2-1 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
466 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Verl vs Alemannia Aachen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Verl edged past Alemannia Aachen 2-1 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Verl had 63% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 37%, shots finished 9-17.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Verl and 1.17 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Verl vs Alemannia Aachen?

Verl 2-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Verl 44%, draw 26%, Alemannia Aachen 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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