Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

Alemannia Aachen
1-1 HT 0-1
Verl
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
14%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.06
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
9%
4.98
X/2
9%
6.54
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 34%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.79/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.57
-51% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 32.0
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Verl
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
18.10.2019 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
14.11.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-0 HT 2-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
17.05.2015 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
01.02.2014 Verl Verl 0-2 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1-1
AWAY Verl
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen and Verl couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 37% of the ball to Verl's 63%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 0.00 for Verl.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 40%, draw 26%, Verl 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alemannia Aachen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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