Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
9%
9.65
X/X
11%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.5
2/2
12%
6.66
2/X
8%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.52/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.96
+50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.0 Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-2 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
07.10.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
29.01.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-4 HT 0-2 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
23.07.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
25.01.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
21.08.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-3 HT 0-3 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1-2
AWAY Viktoria Köln
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Waldhof Mannheim at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 57% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 43%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.33 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Viktoria Köln?

Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 49%, draw 24%, Viktoria Köln 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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