Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.42
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.74
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.67/3.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.24
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
474 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 63%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.8 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
335 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
29.10.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
21.04.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
06.12.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
03.02.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
08.08.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-2 HT 2-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden squeezed past Hansa Rostock 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Wehen Wiesbaden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 46% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.33 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hansa Rostock?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 39%, draw 28%, Hansa Rostock 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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