Unterhaching 2-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.36
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
10%
7.84
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.58
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.22/2.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.88
-24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ingolstadt
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-3 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
21.10.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
30.01.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
03.10.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
02.06.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.09.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
2-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching edged past Ingolstadt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Unterhaching had 39% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 61%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Unterhaching and 1.50 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt?

Unterhaching 2-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 30%, draw 26%, Ingolstadt 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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