Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osnabrück v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
1-1
HT 1-1
Osnabrück
AL3
2-1
HT 0-1
Osnabrück
AL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Osnabrück
AL2
Osnabrück 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue beat Osnabrück 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Osnabrück at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Osnabrück had 45% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 55%, shots finished 9-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osnabrück and 1.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Osnabrück 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 47%, draw 23%, Erzgebirge Aue 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.