Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
155 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 126 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.09.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0
AWAY Bedford Town
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge squeezed past Bedford Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 38% of the ball to Bedford Town's 62%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Bedford Town?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Bedford Town in the England - FA Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 48%, draw 21%, Bedford Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
16 Sep 2025
21:45 Weston-super-Mare vs Taunton Town Analysis →
21:45 Southport vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
21:45 Slough Town vs Welling United Analysis →
21:45 Worthing vs Jersey Bulls Analysis →
21:45 Banbury United vs Chasetown Analysis →
21:45 Chichester City vs Whitstable Analysis →