Slough Town 1-0 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 19%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.77/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.14
-19% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slough Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Welling United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Welling United Welling United 1-1 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town FAK
01.03.2025 Welling United Welling United 2-2 HT 2-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
23.11.2024 Slough Town Slough Town 2-3 HT 0-2 Welling United Welling United İCON
11.11.2023 Welling United Welling United 4-3 HT 2-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
18.02.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Welling United Welling United İCON
08.11.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town edged past Welling United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slough Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Welling United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slough Town and 2.17 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs Welling United?

Slough Town 1-0 Welling United in the England - FA Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 56%, draw 21%, Welling United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slough Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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