Slough Town 2-3 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.83/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.95
-1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slough Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Welling United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Welling United Welling United 4-3 HT 2-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
18.02.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Welling United Welling United İCON
08.11.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
19.02.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
04.09.2021 Welling United Welling United 2-2 HT 1-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
17.10.2020 Slough Town Slough Town 4-4 HT 1-3 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slough Town
2-3
AWAY Welling United
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United edged past Slough Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slough Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slough Town had 57% of the ball to Welling United's 43%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Welling United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Slough Town and 2.33 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs Welling United?

Slough Town 2-3 Welling United in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 48%, draw 27%, Welling United 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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