AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
0.40/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
-73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1-0
AWAY Weymouth
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch nicked a narrow win over Weymouth 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 49% of the ball to Weymouth's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Weymouth?

AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 42%, draw 29%, Weymouth 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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