Curzon Ashton 2-1 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

Curzon Ashton
2-1
Radcliffe Borough
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Curzon Ashton v Radcliffe Borough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.75/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.63
-2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton nicked a narrow win over Radcliffe Borough 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Curzon Ashton 2-1 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 51%, draw 26%, Radcliffe Borough 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
23 Nov 2024
18:00 Buxton vs Oxford City Analysis →
18:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Bath City Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Enfield Town Analysis →
18:00 Slough Town vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Boreham Wood vs Torquay United Analysis →