Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Enfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.27
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
6.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.27 — our 26% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
71%
-18.1pp
26%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.48/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.15
+28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Enfield Town
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Enfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers and Enfield Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 71% of the ball to Enfield Town's 29%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Enfield Town?

Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Enfield Town in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Enfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 52%, draw 26%, Enfield Town 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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