Buxton 2-1 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-1
AWAY Oxford City
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton edged past Oxford City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Buxton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Buxton had 55% of the ball to Oxford City's 45%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Oxford City?

Buxton 2-1 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Buxton 40%, draw 31%, Oxford City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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